There is something rather dreadful about opening the paper each day, from Monday to Saturday, to see what the figures are for deaths from the Sars-Cov-2 virus. I am doing so because I have a need to know, as a Jeremiah prophesying against this misgovernment we are suffering. The man in No. 10 and his cronies will be studying the same statistics each day to calculate how much longer they can afford to wait before bringing back restrictions within our society.
|My thanks to the Guardian newspaper for this brilliant cartoon|
Remember what my blogpost on Saturday 4 September revealed, courtesy of an 'i' article - see this link here:
The 'i' article by David Parsley quoted these words from a 'source':
'The Prime Minister is minded to implement another lockdown or new restrictions only if the figure of annual deaths looks like it's going to go above 50,000. That means deaths from Covid of 137 a day, or just under 1,000 a week'.
Well, yesterday's death toll stood at 140, so we are already in the land of lockdown or new restrictions - and perhaps a return to sanity. But be sure, the man in No 10 will not act until it is way too late to prevent more unnecessary deaths."
I find all this so appalling. That man in No.10, by his actions and inaction, stands responsible for the loss of around 155,000 lives in this country. And now future policies are being decided on the number of bodies being wheeled from the wards to hospital mortuaries, even as we are all encouraged to live life asnormal.
Listen to the scientists who are not caught up in the Establishment web. We can save lives now by making face masks mandatory, bringing back social distancing measures, and improving ventilation in schools and offices. But those measures will only happen when the death toll reaches the point that indicates the NHS hospital system is in meltdown - and probably several weeks after that point has been reached, as previously in this pandemic.
My heart goes out to those in the NHS - the doctors, nurses, and all the other staff - who have been through these coronavirus crises before and still soldier on, exhausted, underpaid, and under-valued. Remember Tory politicians encouraging the nation to clap for the NHS - what a sick joke!
Here are the latest week's figures for cases, hospital admissions, and deaths, to add to the figures published daily in the 'i' newspaper during September:
Cases Admissions Deaths
Wed 1 September 32,181 (+5,705) 901 (-42) 50 (+2)
Thu 2 September 35,693 (+3,512) 842 (-74) 207 (+157)
Fri 3 September 38,154 (+2,461) 848 (+1) 178 (-29)
Sat 4 September 42,076 (+3,922) 985 (+136) 121 (-57)
Sun 5 September - the 'i' is not published on a Sunday
Mon 6 September 37,011 985 68
Tue 7 September 41,192 988 45
Wed 8 September 37,489 905 209
Thu 9 September 38,975 933 191
Fri 10 September 38,013 863 167
Sat 11 September 37,622 1,063 147
Sun 12 September - the 'i' is not published on a Sunday
Mon 13 September 29,173 1,073 56
Tue 14 September 30,825 1,076 61
Wed 15 September 26,628 1,009 185
Thu 16 September 30,597 936* 201
Fri 17 September 26, 911 836* 158
Sat 18 September 32,651 909 178
Sun 19 September - the 'i' is not published on a Sunday
|Sars-Cov-2 = the coronavirus responsible for COVID-19 (Corona-Virus-Disease, identified in 2019) - image used under licence from Getty Images|
A few bullet-point observations on these figures:
- the Thursday 16 September figure for Admissions was given as 836, accompanied by a minus 69 figure which suggests this is likely to be a misprint and the correct number closer to 936. The figure of 836 (-69) is repeated for Friday 17 September casting further doubt.
- the media seem to be following government 'nudges' to accentuate the positive - and never draw attention to the bad news in these figures. On Friday 17 September, the 'i' headline was 'Latest data show that new cases are continuing to fall'. On Saturday 18 September, there was no headline to acknowledge the rise in cases by 5,740.
- I don't have access to the statistics for the missing seventh day of the week - perhaps they are absorbed in the figures for the other six days? Even so, general trends are apparent.
- Admissions have gradually risen in September before plateauing in the last few days. In two to three weeks, this is bound to mean an increase in death rates. This virus has a case fatality rate of 2-3 per cent in the UK.
- The total of deaths in the second week of September was at least 827; in the third week, it has reached 839. We are approaching the figure of just under 1,000 deaths a week (50,000 fatalities a year) which the man in No. 10 has set as his acceptable ceiling. His price for economic recovery (what recovery?!?).
- We have still to see the rates of infection and admissions increase, as they will, due to the return of children to school and soon students to universities.
|It never needed to be like this - remember New Zealand under the premiership of Jacinda Ardern with only 27 deaths from COVID-19 and 4,060 cases of infections.|